Polysilicon spot prices will stabilize at 23 U.S. dollars per kilogram by the end of 2013

According to the latest research report from IHS iSuppli, excess capacity of polysilicon will cause its prices to continue to decline. It is said that in 2012 global polysilicon production capacity will reach 328,000 tons, an increase of 15% from last year's 285,000 tons. However, this year's demand for polysilicon is expected to be 196,000 tons, which is 4% lower than last year's demand of 205,000 tons.

Based on the above data, the excess polysilicon production capacity in 2012 will reach 132,000 tons, compared with only 80,000 tons of surplus capacity last year. IHS iSuppli claims that the ratio of polysilicon oversupply in 2012 was as high as 67%, while in 2011 overcapacity was 39%.

“Since the current polysilicon production capacity is in excess, the photovoltaic industry will experience a new wave of price reductions in 2012 after the price falls in 2011,” said Henning Wicht, director of photovoltaic analysis at IHS iSuppli. “The spot price of polysilicon fell by 65% ​​in 2011. This is the biggest change in the polysilicon market since 2009. Polysilicon prices are also expected to fall by 56% this year, affecting the prices of downstream components and power station systems, adding new variables to the PV market this year. Affects the trading of polysilicon in the photovoltaic industry."

According to the IHS iSuppli polysilicon price index (IPPI), polysilicon prices are expected to drop to $22 per kilogram by the end of 2012. With changes in the supply and demand situation, by the end of 2013, the price of polysilicon is expected to stabilize at about 23 U.S. dollars per kilogram.