The report says the world economy has entered a period of recession

The Chinese Academy of Social Sciences released the 2013 Yellow Book on the International Situation in Beijing on December 24th - Global Political and Security Report (2013). The Yellow Book pointed out that the world today may be on the eve of great turmoil, major adjustments, and major changes. The deeper and more comprehensive economic and social crisis in the world and the more severe challenges facing the socialist countries may still be behind.

On December 24th, the "2013 World Economic Yellow Book" and "International Situation Yellow Book" and "World Economic and International Situation Reporting Conference" jointly sponsored by the Institute of World Economics and Politics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and the Social Science Literature Publishing House were held in Beijing. Held and officially released the "2013 World Economic Situation Analysis and Forecast" and "Global Politics and Security Report (2013)" published by the Social Science Literature Publishing House.

The Yellow Book pointed out that within the foreseeable twenty or thirty years, the emergence of the world pattern of G0 is still not seen. Financial, technological, cultural and military hegemony is a new feature of the era of capital imperialism. At the end of hegemonism and power politics is the revival of socialism. Judging from the current situation, the global financial crisis that began in 2008 is far from over. The deeper and more comprehensive economic and social crisis in the world and the more severe challenges facing the socialist countries may still be behind.

The Yellow Book believes that peace, development and cooperation are undoubtedly the universal aspirations of today's countries and are the main trend that actually exists in the moment. At the same time, it should be fully seen that in the next two or three decades, the world's major powers and strategic groups will cooperate, compete, play, and compete in various possibilities. It is very likely that the socialism with Chinese characteristics will stand tall. The great resurgence with the world socialist trend of thought does not rule out that China and the development of the third world have encountered new and greater difficulties. World socialism has entered a new and greater downturn.

The Yellow Book believes that no matter which kind of prospects emerge, the world pattern from the outbreak of the international financial crisis until the first two or three decades of the 21st century, and even the first half of the century, may be in a state of intense turmoil and even jumping. This is the inevitable result of the long-term cumulative conflicts of various major contradictions in the world. The specific reasons are as follows:

-- The world economy has entered a period of recession

Almost all of the different types of countries around the world are getting poorer and poorer, richer and richer, and almost all countries are getting poorer. With the fundamental contradiction between the socialization of production and the globalization of production and the private possession of production materials and the infinite expansion of production and the limited demand of society, the world economy will inevitably decline further, and the world socialist trend of thought and the world socialist movement will surely further revival.

-- Western world soft power still dominates globally

Although the economy of the Western world headed by the United States has obvious signs of decline, we should also fully understand its relatively strong economy, including financial, military and Other hard powers. The so-called soft powers such as rulemaking and awareness manipulation are still global. It occupies a dominant or monopolistic position and has a variety of "regulation" means. In order to save the economic downturn, the Western world led by the United States will never rule out the use of unconventional means to achieve its goal.

-- The blind arrogance of the United States has pointed its finger at Russia and China

Former US Assistant Finance Minister Paul? Craig? Roberts recently wrote: "The facts are clear. The two political parties in Washington have pointed their finger at Russia and China. It is not clear whether the purpose of the United States is to destroy these two countries, or simply to make it unable to resist the world hegemony of Washington. ". The inability of Russia and China to resist is a phased goal of the United States, and destroying two countries is the most ideal goal of the United States. In order to save the economy of the United States and the entire Western world, which may have a long-term recession, if there is no global strategy, it is almost a Utopia that cannot achieve its purpose.

——All kinds of contradictions and historical issues will be further exposed and intensified

With the deepening of the international financial crisis, various contradictions and historical issues in the world will be further exposed and intensified. Some inherent ethnic and religious contradictions, issues such as territorial sovereignty and economic rights disputes between some countries may be intensified.

In summary, the Yellow Book gives the following conclusion: The big times have not changed, but the themes and trends of the times will change and even change with the development of the times; the world is on the eve of great turmoil, major adjustment, and great changes. The eve of the night does not refer to the eve of the 24 hours a day in nature, nor does it refer to the time period of three to five years, but refers to the time period of ten to twenty years span.

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